Political pollsters and news media commit partisan fraud

“The credibility of mainstream political polls took a serious hit following the 2016 election. Most predicted an easy victory for Hillary Clinton. The entire political class believed she was a shoo-in, and that the election would be a mere formality. But the polls and the pundits were wrong, glaringly so,” according to economist, businessman and investigative journalist James Simpson on Tuesday.

“It appears they are wrong again, because they persist in making the same mistakes they have been making for years,” Simpson said on the Bomb Throwers blog. 

Chart courtesy of James Simpson.

Simpson laments the fact that too many political pollsters and news media commentators are obsessed with reporting that President Trump’s approval ratings are relatively low in comparison to polls take during the Obama administration. Most of the big news organizations saturate the public square with Trump polls in the mid- to upper-30 percent range, far less than the percentage of Americans who actually voted for the President.

Simpson’s Bomb Throwers analysis reveals that these same pollsters show Trump  disapproval rates averaging a whopping 57 percent.

Chart courtesy of James Simpson.

Simpson, who is one of the most respected and knowledgeable bloggers in the U.S. today points to the McLaughlin poll results that should get Congress, and congressional leadership in particular, to sit up and take notice:

  •  Only 21 percent believe congressional leadership is helping “drain the swamp.”
  •  Forty-nine percent said that congressional leadership supports the swamp.
  • Sixty-three percent believe House Speaker Paul Ryan and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell should be replaced.
  • Only 15 percent said they would support the reelection of Speaker Ryan and Majority Leader McConnell.
  • A majority of those who support Ryan and McConnell are Democrats.
  • More people (21 percent) support Antifa street thugs than Ryan and McConnell.
  • Forty-six percent are more likely to vote for their member of Congress if they support Trump’s immigrant vetting policies; 38 percent are more likely to vote for them if they don’t.
  • Fifty-two percent are more likely to vote for their member of Congress if the lawmaker supports Trump’s ban on transgenders in the military: 28 percent are less likely to vote for their member if the lawmaker supports transgenders in the military.
  • Fifty-six percent of voters favor repealing and replacing Obamacare; 39 percent oppose.
  • Fifty percent are less likely to vote for their member of Congress if the lawmaker refuses to repeal Obamacare mandates and taxes, while 36 percent are more likely to vote for their lawmaker.
  • Fifty-three percent of voters favor less government; only 32 percent want more.Congress recently held a hearing on curtailing free speech. The McLaughlin poll reveals that:
  • Eighty-five percent believe freedom of speech is a fundamental right. Only 9 percent believe it should be restricted when offensive.
  • Despite the fallout from Charlottesville, Virginia, 85 percent believe the Constitution supports the rights of everyone to freedom of speech, no matter how offensive. Only 8 percent believe it should be restricted.
  • Sixty-three percent oppose Antifa efforts to silence people they disagree with.
  • Forty-three percent oppose Internet companies using the Southern Poverty Law Center’s (SPLC) “hate list.” This blacklist names many mainstream conservative groups the SPLC disagrees with politically.
  • Only 32 percent supported using the SPLC’s list.

This poll suggests that many more voters support conservative ideas and policies than mainstream media polls claim. Congress should take a very close look at this poll, because it is a much better indication of those policies and candidates a majority is likely to support.

James Simpson’s book, The Red Green Axis: Refugees, Immigration and the Agenda to Erase America, is available. Follow Jim on Twitter & Facebook.


Edited by Jim Kouri

Jim Kouri, CPP, is founder and CEO of Kouri Associates, a homeland security, public safety and political consulting firm. He's formerly Fifth Vice-President, now a Board Member of the National Association of Chiefs of Police, a columnist, and a contributor to the nationally syndicated talk-radio program, the Chuck Wilder Show.. He's former chief of police at a New York City housing project in Washington Heights nicknamed "Crack City" by reporters covering the drug war in the 1980s. In addition, he served as director of public safety at St. Peter's University and director of security for several major organizations. He's also served on the National Drug Task Force and trained police and security officers throughout the country.

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