With just the first round of the presidential contest over, most voters still think the next occupant of the White House is likely to be a Republican. Although Ted Cruz edged out Donald Trump to win in Iowa, experts predict Trump will triumph in New Hampshire. Meanwhile, on the Democratic Party side, despite the behind the scenes shenanigans of the Clinton campaign, Hillary and avowed socialist Bernie Sanders ended up in a virtual tie, even though Clinton’s massive machine is creating an illusionary victory for her.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 59% of Likely U.S. Voters say it’s likely that the next president after Barack Obama will come from the GOP. Just 36% say that’s unlikely. These findings include 25% who think a Republican president is Very Likely and only nine percent (9%) who consider it Not At All Likely. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
According to Rasmussen, a high of 74% of Likely Republican Voters nationwide believe Trump will be their nominee. That compares to 27% who felt that way last June when the billionaire businessman first announced his candidacy.
Fifty-one percent (51%) of Likely Democratic Voters think Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont is likely to win the Democratic presidential nomination. That’s up from 23% when he entered the race in May of last year.
Surprisingly, 83% of Democrats still think Clinton is likely to be their party’s presidential nominee this year, a finding that has changed very little over the months. But this includes just 43% who now say it’s Very Likely, the first time this figure has fallen below 50% since last fall.